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Coats Leads GOP Primary

With just a few days to go before the Indiana primary, a new poll has former U.S. Senator Dan Coats leading amongst Republican voters. 

The poll conducted by the Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics has the following breakdown.

  • Dan Coats – 36%.
  • John Hostettler – 24%.
  • Marlin Stutzman – 18%.
  • Don Bates, Jr.- 6%.
  • Richard Behney – 4%.
  • Undecided – 13%.

The poll of 407 registered voters was taken from April 22-26 by Survey USA and has margin of error of 5%.

Coats polled best with those identifying themselves as strong Republicans, Republicans or leaning Republican.  Hostettler ranked the highest with independent voters.   Coats also did well with those who identified themselves as tea party supporters, with Stutzman coming in second.

The poll also notes that Coats, Stutzman and Hostettler all defeat likely Democrat nominee Brad Elsworth in a general election,  however 20-25% of the voters are undecided.

Posted: 04|29|10 at 10:21 am by Abdul Hakim-Shabazz
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  • Think Again

    So much for your early indicators…this pretty much confirms what most of us have been seeing and hearing for a month.

    The only difference this year is, for the first time, the GOP seems willing to eat its young instead of jelling around one candidate. In three CDs the race is thick and heavy, as well as this statewide Senate race.

    My guess is they'll easily rally 'round the winner, because the GOP is far more organized on that score. A disciplined core.

    I'm pulling for Coats.

  • Name

    I hope the Republicans buy the polling and discount Brad Ellsworth completely. That way, it will be a total shock when he beats them in November.

  • Taxpayer 834512

    Earth to Republican voters for the Senate primary:

    When the resident blog Democrat is pulling for a particular Republican candidate, that means that is the guy with the best chance of LOSING in November. Former Senator Coats is not a bad guy. Representative Ellsworth and President Obama are not wicked evildoers wearing black hats either. But, if you are not pleased with the Federal status quo of this administration, you do NOT want to elect a Republican candidate for the Senate that is going to be saddled with “LOBBYIST” and “OUT-OF-STATER” to a well funded Brad Ellsworth.

  • armorall

    Wow! So much for Stutzman! I kinda figured the tea party stuff was a little overblown, but it looks like at least 2 of the bottom candidates would need to drop out before election day to give Coats a real run. And boy, this must be egg on the face of pundits such as Erick Erickson of RedState: http://www.redstate.com/erick/2010/04/28/how-do…

  • Jon Easter

    I could not agree more Taxpayer with your assessment. I also agree with name.

    Ellsworth has some big campaign lettuce in the bank already!

  • Think Again

    Taxpayer plays close attention, without the vitriol associated with Rico.

    In other words, he plays nice.

    Coats wins, and he almost assuredly loses in November. I'm not thrilled with Ellsworth as a Dem candidate–way too conservative on some issues for me. But he cuts right at some of the hotbed right-wing issues: he's Ok on guns and abortion, and he's a former sheriff.
    He ain't bad on the eyes, either. He can't be tied too closely with Pelosi and Reed–he hasn't been there long enough. He can promise to be his own man.

    Beat that with a stick.

  • http://twitter.com/dturkette Dan Turkette

    Actually, it was 1250 voters. 407 were asked the first question regarding the gop primary race only. All of the balance of the questions were asked of all 1250.

  • Pingback: Coats Leads GOP Primary | Wells County Republican Party

  • Taxpayer 834512

    Ellsworth can promise all he wants. He ceased to be his own man the moment he voted for health care legislation a majority of America opposed. It appears to have taken a plane ride with the President to get the job done- but caught between what Indiana wanted and the President wanted, he made his choice.

    Financial reform is going down a different path. Most of America wants it done. Kicking and screaming all the way, the two parties have to somewhat play ball (as of this writing) to get something done, vs the politically costly throat-ramming method. Hopefully, the legislation will be better as well. I'm most worried about the largest entities being able to buy their way around having to have wills, or having to downsize if they won't. Fannie and Freddie going crazy on us again is not pleasant prospect either.

    It would be fair to say that our public servants have been a wee bit susceptable to legislating based on campaign donations vs public need. Sounds incredible I know…..

  • Hector

    I hope Coats wins the primary also. Ellsworth will stomp on him in November. Coats had to loan his committee $200,000 which is unbelievable for a man who used to be the senator and who has all of the Washington inside creditials that he has. The money people seem to understand that Coats is a loser also.

  • All this talk of vaporware when a real poll will be done shortly.

  • Think Again

    Polling in Ellsworth's own CD was 50-50 on the health care plan. And get this: statewide polling was 55-45 against Republican delay tactics during the debate. Most Hoosiers were fed up with the stalling and delaying. Chinless McConnell notwithstanding. God, I'm so glad I'm not a Kentuckian…for many reasons, McConnell chief among them today.

    Taxpayer, you've got to admit, there are a lot of folks who wanted health care reform. Whether they got what they wanted, we may see this November…but the bill won't be repealed.

    And plenty of us think it was way overdue.

  • Taxpayer 834512

    Got any polling numbers on what Indiana thought about the bill being crafted behind closed doors, with plenty of Pharma, AARP, AMA, and insurance company input- but nary a Republican? When you don't get exactly what you want for emasculating a sixth of your free-market economy, are you to use parlimentarian manuvers to take care of that little problem? When your President promised repeatedly to have a visible process, we're to understand completely when instead we get the token Blair House gathering and a singular C-SPAN telecast? When 85% of America and the Economist agree that the biggest sub-issue is controlling costs, we're to feel soothed that somehow we got a bill that's more preoccupied with expanding coverage for the other 15%?

    A definitive majority of America made it clear in poll after poll after poll- they wanted health care reform, but not this corrupt “lawmaking” reflecting an ideological minority of our country. A different, imperfect, but BIPARTISAN path is presently being pursued in financial reform. We can pray for better results.

    I despised Bush and never voted for him. The Republicans use of deem and pass and foreign policy excursions make me want to reach for my blood pressure medicine. However, I dearly hoped that we wouldn't wind-up Bush III: an anti-matter replacement from the alternate dimension- just as ideologically rigid and dogmatic. And, sure enough, that's EXACTLY what we got!

    Bottom line: We don't want this bill and don't believe it is affordable. Representative Ellsworth sided with President Obama in circumventing the will of the majority of the American people and the citizens of Indiana.