My Predictions*
Okay, here are my predictions for Election Day. They are based on the following, quantitative and qualitative analysis of poll numbers, news stories, organizational strengths and weaknesses, 20 months of following these issues, and good old fashioned gut instinct. And as always, anything can happen in politics.
- President – Obama (354-184) and 53% of the popular vote.
- McCain pulls off Indiana by a squeaker.
- Governor – Daniels (55-45), not enough straight tickets to help JLT and more than enough split tickets to help Mitch.
- Democrats pick up seven seats. Mitch McConnell in Kentucky makes the cut. Georgia ends up in a run-off because of the Libertarian and neither candidate getting more than 50 percent. It will be the first big test of the new President’s and Democrats’ coattails.
- Democrats pick up at least 20 seats.
- Democrats make a net gain of one house in the Indiana Legislature seat to go 52-48.
- The Township Assessors get defeated. If they don’t what I’m hearing over at the Capitol will make them wish they went away quietly.
- IPS Bond referendum is defeated.
*As always these predictions are subject to change without explanation and to make the blogger look like Nostradamus. Now vote and make a difference.
